@Frumentarii
You guys need to listen to what I'm saying. We are all in tremendous danger.
Diseases like smallpox have passed beyond living memory. There is no one alive today who remembers that kind of horror. Death on that sort of scale just doesn't compute for people. Aside from a small subset of epidemiologists and disease experts, humanity has grown complacent.
Bureaucrats are flitting about trying to use political correctness to save the day, when they don't even comprehend the sheer magnitude of the threat posed by COVID-19.
I am going to lay out my case in as reasoned and concise a manner as I can. I don't expect you to believe me, but I do want you to know that in actual fact, I fear for my life. I fear for your life. I fear for all of our lives. That fear has spurred me into motion.
I have contacted MIT scientists and biotech venture capitalists, and they have concurred with my analysis, and they were just as disturbed as I am. The Board Director of a Japanese company contacted me for more information after I posted a lengthy meta-analysis on Reddit about what I suspect that the disease does to the human body.
This disease does not just infect the lungs. It causes a severe inflammatory autoimmune syndrome that damages multiple organs of the body.
Please, don't dismiss this as "conspiracy fearmongering". This is very, very serious.
First, China is massively under-diagnosing the disease.
We estimate the basic reproduction number of the infection (𝑅𝑅0) to be significantly greater than one. We estimate it to be between 3.6 and 4.0, indicating that 72-75% of transmissions must be prevented by control measures for infections to stop increasing.
● We estimate that only 5.1% (95%CI, 4.8–5.5) of infections in Wuhan are identified, indicating a large number of infections in the community, and also reflecting the difficulty in detecting cases of this new disease. Surveillance for this novel pathogen has been launched very quickly by public health authorities in China, allowing for rapid assessment of the speed of increase of cases in Wuhan and other areas.
● If no change in control or transmission happens, then we expect further outbreaks to occur in other Chinese cities, and that infections will continue to be exported to international destinations at an increasing rate. In 14 days' time (4 February 2020), our model predicts the number of infected people in Wuhan to be greater than 190 thousand (prediction interval, 132,751 to 273,649). We predict the cities with the largest outbreaks elsewhere in China to be Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou, Chongqing and Chengdu. We also predict that by 4 Feb 2020, the countries or special administrative regions at greatest risk of importing infections through air travel are Thailand, Japan, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and South Korea.
Got that? China is only detecting 5% of all infections. It's really at least 1.5 million, they just haven't diagnosed and counted them.
Okay, now:
Objective To provide reliable evidence of evidence-based medicine for the treatment and prevention of the 2019 novel coronavirus(2019-nCoV) by analyzing all the published studies on the clinical characteristics of patients with 2019-nCoV. Methods PubMed,Cochrane Library,Embase and other...
www.medrxiv.org
According to Meta-analysis, among the clinical characteristics of patients with 2019-nCoV infection, the incidence of fever is 90.9% , the incidence of cough is 70.8%, and the incidence of muscle soreness or fatigue is 41%. The incidence of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) was 14.8%, the incidence of abnormal chest CT was 95.6%, the proportion of severe cases in all infected cases was 21.3%, and the mortality rate of patients with 2019-nCoV infection was 4.8%. Conclusion: Fever and cough are the most common symptoms in patients with 2019-nCoV infection, and most of them have abnormal chest CT
Second, mortality is at least 4.8%. 1 in 20 average patients who contract the disease will die.
Now, I ask you this...
Where are the 70,000-plus dead people in Wuhan?
I'll tell you where they are. They're ashes, after being immediately cremated by the CCP without counting them.
They are, in actual fact, the clouds of smog we have witnessed hanging over an empty ghost town with no vehicle traffic.
There are most likely thousands of bodies still trapped in quarantine, sitting uncollected and decomposing in their apartments. That's why there are thousands of carrion birds flying around Wuhan right now. They smell a feast.
Prepare. Prepare, before this thing hits us hard.