I think nobody knows exactly, Maskirovka is still a thing. And the army has been training quick redeployments for several years now, basically all major military drill include them as the initial phase, so it doesn't matter much whether the main forces are stationed 50 or 500 kms from the border. Also, from the military point of view, actual incursion on enemy territory will be preceded by a massive air campaign which will take at least 24 hours, probably more, so there will be time to bring in even forces that are stationed further away. The idea that in a full-scale conflict Russian tanks will fight Ukrainian tanks and Javeling-armed squads is... archaic.If I recall correctly, there were plans to position an entire Tank Army in the Southern Military District opposite Ukraine centered at Voronezh and one other city I forgot which.
Is that Tank Army already in position with full order of battle filled out or are they cobbling all the units they need from various divisions and what not for the job? I haven't been able to follow a lot of this.
Oh, you're right! I didn't think of that.
VSU had a change in leadership recently, aimed specifically at replacing old commanders who had a healthy respect for Russian military capability with a younger, more fearless (read: reckless) cadre.The photo of the fella who gave the briefing looks like a 30ish year old babe waiting to get a spanking. Seriously, the guy looks younger than me.