I have seen Orban being vilified and talked about in the same sentence as Kaczyński.
Now Kaczyński, or as I like to call him the hamster*, is the great leader that is at the forefront of EU aid to Ukraine and Orban stands alone.
It is typical how winds change directions.
As for how I see it developing.
Hungary, for the region it is in, is quite well off. Not an economic powerhouse but it is certainly is not to sneeze at either.
If they think supporting Ukraine is not in their best interest I'd like to see someone explaining to them why they are in error.
Certainly long term it can bite them in the ass, short term it is likely to soon happen.
But overall this looks like political grandstanding on the part of Hungary.
They loudly yell "I DISAGREE" about the Ukrainian matter. That is their right.
As for more alarmist takes on this matter.
An armed confrontation between Hungary and Ukraine would be the most darkly humoristic thing in recent memory.
A former ally in a confrontation with a NATO member.
And because of it an impossibility.
Ukraine after the war will be forced to ignore any insults directed at them from Hungary.
Ukraine will be rebuilt with EU and US help and funds. Russia giving a single nickel as war reparations fits more in an episode of Dark Mirror than likely outcomes.
So they will be told to treat the Hungarians as only an annoyance. The most heated this thing can become is a shouting match between Zenensky and Orban, if either of them will remain in power for long.
*no you do not capitalize "hamster" when talking about Kaczyński. He is a small man.
Or simply Ukraine can go and ignore whatever provocation Hungary would try this week, and get busy with reconstruction*, while Hungary is getting worse and worse economy wise, thanks to Orban, especially if he'd try to carry through with Huxit. The limited border, and thus connections work both ways, and if they want to be really dicks, go out and prevent the Hungarian minority voting in the next Hungarian parlamentarian elections in 2026. May or may not be something that can tip the scales against Orban at that time, as Orban's biggest reason for investing money into Zakarpatia was to have a big block of dual citizenship voters abroad, who can be bought off with said citizenship, but don't live in Hungary, and thus not affected by his bad policies. The exact same reasons why he invested a lot money into the regions of with sizable Hungarian minorities both in Romania, and Serbia.
* bonus schadenfreude, if they'd do it from the money the EU no longer gives to Hungary.
The leaders of four Central European countries are holding a summit in Slovakia to discuss energy, migration and regional cooperation
www.independent.co.uk
The V4 is barely more than an informal club of the four countries, that at the best of times worked to form a somewhat united voting block inside the EU. The last time it happened, was back during the refugee crisis. Then the whole thing fell apart the moment nobody but Hungary cared about the brown horde of migrants, the other members dropping their stances overnight, leaving Orban standing alone. And given how isolated Orban is today, I don't expect anything fruitful out of it.
Critics of the Ukrainian government accuse it of capitulating to blackmail from neighbouring Hungary.
www.newstatesman.com
ROLFlmao dude. It's an article from 2020. Meanwhile it's 2022, and the Zakarpathian Hungarians were as eager to join the Ukrainian a military as any other region. Any separatist attempts by anyone would be either stillborn, or stomped out quickly by the security services. EDIT: especially how Russian services infiltrated Hungarian government and intelligence services, if they'd try to do something funny, their MO would be quite similar to the way they are operating elsewhere in Ukraine, something the Ukrainian services are quite familiar with.